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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
65%
September Meeting
59%
3 more
$1.44M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
64 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
58%
Pause–Pause–Pause
41%
7 more
$400K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
62 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
64%
Pause–Pause–Pause
36%
7 more
$469K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
46 trading now
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
78%
Other
22%
7 more
$815K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
52 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
61%
25 bps increase
31%
3 more
$310K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
48 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
1 (25 bps)
41%
0 (0 bps)
32%
4 more
$47K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$61
41 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
35%
Yes
No
1
23%
Yes
No
$38K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$71
53 trading now
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Inflation 20+ times
88%
Balance Sheet
84%
32 more
$26K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
44 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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