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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$1.74M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$172
64 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
23%
chance
Yes
No
$471K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$111
47 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
13%
5 more
$1.29M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$1.94M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$161
61 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
50-74
40%
<50
37%
3 more
$40K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
42 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
50%
December
16%
5 more
$108K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
44 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
33%
chance
Yes
No
$63K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$76
50 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
87%
20-40
9%
3 more
$219K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
53 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
<220
51%
220-229
24%
4 more
$7.5K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
44 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
97%
285M
69%
4 more
$9.5K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
25-27
27%
28-30
26%
5 more
$9.7K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$92
42 trading now
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