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Prediction markets

16 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

John Pardon
John Pardon97%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman96%9 more
$736KVol. Jul 30science
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

2500+99%
3000+99%4 more
$33KVol. Jul 31science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest92%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest8%2 more
$106KVol. Jul 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC83%
1.25–1.29ºC16%4 more
$39KVol. Aug 1science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

600mm+70%
525-550mm
525-550mm16%8 more
$23KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"66%
3-4"
3-4"24%4 more
$30KVol. Jul 31science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

≤8
31%YesNo
9
17%YesNo
$9.9KVol. Jul 26science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

August 30
August 3049%
December 31
December 3149%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%

chance

YesNo
$577KVol. Dec 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

0
60%YesNo
1
28%YesNo
$3.0KVol. Jul 26science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10065%
100–12924%7 more
$1.7KVol. Aug 1science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+99%
90-100mm1%6 more
$13KVol. Jul 31science